CycleWatch

Signals › Household & Consumer

DRTSCLCC · FRED

SLOOS consumer credit standards

Banks withdrawing consumer credit is a direct spending constraint.

Latest reading

6.70

Percent · observation 2026-07-01, published 2026-08-03

Last 24 observations.

Signal

−0.07

Inside the normal range. Not a strong reading either way.

Use
In model: block 3 score
Model input
the level as published
Direction
A rising value raises recession risk.

Where it fits

Household & Consumer: Track two-thirds of GDP and the credit channel that constrains it. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.

Other signals in this block