CycleWatch

Data

Everything behind the headline, free to download. Updated with each edition.

Downloads

  • latest.json: today's figures, machine-readable (headline 4.4%, as of 2026-10-02).
  • forecasts.csv and forecasts.json: every logged forecast.
  • cpi.csv: every Consumer Price Index item's latest 1-, 3- and 12-month change; cpi.json: their monthly index history (BLS, public domain).
  • consumer.json: the US Consumer section's figures: everyday prices, real wages, spending, income and credit.
  • ledger.jsonl: the hash-chained forecast log, exactly as written. Each line's SHA-256, without its own hash field, equals its entry_hash, and each prev_hash is the line before.

Embed the odds

CycleWatch US recession odds badge

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