Signals › Household & Consumer
Households default on the house last.
Percent · observation 2026-04-01, published 2026-08-25
Last 24 observations.
Not in the fit. No verdict.
Household & Consumer: Track two-thirds of GDP and the credit channel that constrains it. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.