Signals › Household & Consumer
High-beta, credit-financed, deferrable. Turns early and hard.
Millions of Units · observation 2026-09-01, published 2026-10-02
Last 24 observations.
Inside the normal range. Not a strong reading either way.
Household & Consumer: Track two-thirds of GDP and the credit channel that constrains it. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.