CycleWatch

Signals › Monetary Policy, Rates & Liquidity

M2V · FRED

M2 velocity

The bridge between money growth and nominal GDP.

Latest reading

1.42

Ratio · observation 2026-04-01, published 2026-07-30

Last 24 observations.

Signal

—

Not in the fit. No verdict.

Use
Context: regime context; not an input

Where it fits

Monetary Policy, Rates & Liquidity: Model the policy reaction function explicitly rather than treating policy as an exogenous shock. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.

Other signals in this block