Signals › Housing & Construction
Public-domain alternative. Conforming loans only.
Index 1980:Q1=100 · observation 2026-04-01, published 2026-08-25
Last 24 observations.
Not in the fit. No verdict.
Housing & Construction: Track the sector that leads the cycle more reliably than any other. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.