CycleWatch

Signals › Housing & Construction

EXHOSLUSM495S · FRED

Existing home sales

Closings — a decision made 30-60 days earlier.

Latest reading

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licensed: not shown on the public site.

Signal

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Not in the fit. No verdict.

Use
Not in model: under 5 years of history: cannot test

Where it fits

Housing & Construction: Track the sector that leads the cycle more reliably than any other. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.

Other signals in this block