CycleWatch

Signals › Composite & Model Benchmarks

USSLIND · FRED

Philadelphia Fed leading index

Public-domain state-level alternative to the LEI.

Latest reading

1.72

Percent · observation 2020-02-01, published 2020-04-14

Last 24 observations.

Signal

—

Not in the fit. No verdict.

Use
Benchmark: scored against the model, never an input

Where it fits

Composite & Model Benchmarks: Adjudicate the model. NOT inputs. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.

Other signals in this block