Signals › Composite & Model Benchmarks
Bridge equations on 13 GDP subcomponents. RMSE 1.17pp since 2011.
Percent Change at Annual Rate · observation 2026-07-01, published 2026-07-30
Last 24 observations.
Not in the fit. No verdict.
Composite & Model Benchmarks: Adjudicate the model. NOT inputs. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.