Signals › Fiscal & Sovereign
The headline fiscal stance.
Percent of GDP · observation 2025-01-01, published 2026-02-20
Last 24 observations.
Not in the fit. No verdict.
Fiscal & Sovereign: Measure fiscal impulse and capture the highest-frequency income data available anywhere. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.