Index · observation 2026-07-01, published 2026-08-10
Last 24 observations.
Signal
—
Not in the fit. No verdict.
Use
Not in model: not stationary (ADF p=0.14)
Where it fits
Uncertainty, Sentiment & Text: Quantify uncertainty shocks and narrative shifts. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.