CycleWatch

Signals › Commodities & Dollar

DTWEXAFEGS · FRED

Advanced-economy dollar index

Separates DM from EM dollar pressure.

Latest reading

113.9

Index Jan 2006=100 · observation 2026-09-25, published 2026-09-28

Last 24 observations.

Signal

+0.26

Inside the normal range. Not a strong reading either way.

Use
In model: block 11 score
Model input
100 × change in the logarithm, about the % change from the previous period
Direction
A rising value raises recession risk.

Where it fits

Commodities & Dollar: Capture the fastest-moving global liquidity and risk-appetite signals. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.

Other signals in this block