CycleWatch

Signals › Equity, Volatility & Cross-Asset

ERP · DERIVED

Equity risk premium versus real yields

Valuation cushion against a growth shock.

Latest reading

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No free source.

Signal

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Not in the fit. No verdict.

Use
Context: regime context; not an input

Where it fits

Equity, Volatility & Cross-Asset: Extract cycle information from market internals rather than index level. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.

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