CycleWatch

Signals › Credit & Financial Conditions

BAMLC0A4CBBB · FRED

BBB OAS

Largest and most downgrade-vulnerable IG cohort.

Latest reading

—

licensed: not shown on the public site.

Signal

—

Not in the fit. No verdict.

Use
Not in model: under 5 years of history: cannot test

Where it fits

Credit & Financial Conditions: Measure the price and availability of credit — the best-performing partner to the term spread in published out-of-sample work. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.

Other signals in this block