Signals › Global & External
Amplitude-adjusted, 100 = trend. Growth-cycle, not classical-cycle.
Index · observation 2026-08-01, published 2026-09-15
Last 24 observations.
Not in the fit. No verdict.
Global & External: Import the global cycle before it shows in US data. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.