Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis
Latest reading
4.99
Percent · observation 2026-09-01, published 2026-10-01
Last 24 observations.
Signal
—
Not in the fit. No verdict.
Use
Supporting: 10y Treasury, monthly average (not the latest day), from 1953: term-spread history before T10Y3M (1982)
Where it fits
Supporting series: The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.