Number · observation 2026-09-26, published 2026-10-01
Last 24 observations.
Signal
—
Not in the fit. No verdict.
Use
Not in model: block 17 is excluded from scores
Where it fits
Alternative & High-Frequency: Compress reporting lag from months to days for nowcasting. The model averages the standardised signals in each block into a block score, then combines the twelve block scores in a probit. Today the 12-block model reads 1.6%.